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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 17, 2025: up, down and all around
I started drafting this update Friday morning in London, with U.S. futures massively down. And then – like magic – the U.S. stock market opened slightly better, bounced around all morning, and then headed higher during the afternoon. These are crazy times! Above are some of the headlines that have appeared the last two days in # Bloomberg and the # FT . Over-valued equities and concerns about A.I. have been present for some time, but the last two headlines regarding cred

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 176 min read
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Week ended Sept 19, 2025: Fed cuts, stocks like it!
The Fed finally cuts the Fed Funds rate and moves to an easing path which shockingly (sarcasm), gave equity investors another reason to send stocks higher. Treasuries though said "meh", and yields even rose at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 213 min read
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Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 26, 20236 min read
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FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20214 min read
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