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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended Dec 8, 2023: eyes on central bank policy meetings

It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 9, 20236 min read

Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 4, 20236 min read

The central bank trifecta this week unfolded largely as expected. US bonds and equities puked on the Fed's "higher for longer".

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 23, 20236 min read

The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 16, 20234 min read

Fed pauses, ECB races ahead, BoJ stays loose; BoE poised to raise rates again this week. Dollar slumps, global equities power ahead,

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 18, 20237 min read

Markets were not overly inspiring this week even as volatility continued to decline. Japanese and small-cap US stocks were the big winners.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 10, 20235 min read

Debt ceiling done as attention turns to the Fed's next move. US jobs data continues to suggest resiliency, and equities are liking it.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 3, 20234 min read

Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 5, 20234 min read

We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 28, 20234 min read

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