Federal Reserve | E-Morning Coffee 4/13

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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended Dec 15, 2023: Fed serves up a cream puff

The Fed breaks ranks for some reason and suggests a nearer-than-expected pivot which sent stocks and bonds soaring.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 16, 20237 min read

It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 9, 20236 min read

Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 4, 20236 min read

Markets feeling increasingly fragile as UST yields head higher and equities bounce around. Uncertainty and risks abound. Not feelin' it!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 7, 20237 min read

Dismal end to a dismal quarter, with stocks down and bonds getting hammered. US govt shutdown, US housing market and UST market worries.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 30, 20237 min read

The central bank trifecta this week unfolded largely as expected. US bonds and equities puked on the Fed's "higher for longer".

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 23, 20236 min read

Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 26, 20236 min read

Bonds were battered again, but not global equities which took off like rockets. Earnings good, economic data good, etc – what's not to like

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 29, 20234 min read

US jobs data was sufficiently solid, largely as expected, that it wrecked the recent rally in stocks. UST yields were sent higher, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 8, 20235 min read

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