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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 24, 2025: stocks hit record highs (again)
Writing this weekly update is starting to get boring, because everything goes up every week, or so it seems. Having said that, one casualty this past week was gold, which finally seems to have come off the boil. The price of gold declined nearly 6% on Tuesday, and then stabilised but still ended down 1.8% on the week, the first weekly decline in the price of this safe haven precious metal since mid-August. All global equity indices were higher (yawn) on the week – most end

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 266 min read
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American Exceptionalism
Better late than never, in that this article is about my views on American exceptionalism, both economically and as far as US stocks.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 813 min read
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Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 24, 20243 min read
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Week ended Feb 2, 2024: Earnings, Fed and US jobs
Last week dominated by five "Mag 7" companies that reported earnings (mixed bag), Fed and BoE monetary policy meetings, and economic data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 3, 20246 min read
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Week ended June 23, 2023: BoE jumbo rate increase
Central banks, one after another, are raising rates to try to tame persistent inflation, but it's not working fast enough. Equities tanked.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 24, 20235 min read
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Week ended June 16, 2023: Risk-rally broadening
Fed pauses, ECB races ahead, BoJ stays loose; BoE poised to raise rates again this week. Dollar slumps, global equities power ahead,

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20237 min read
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Week ended June 9, 2023: Canadian haze
Markets were not overly inspiring this week even as volatility continued to decline. Japanese and small-cap US stocks were the big winners.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 10, 20235 min read
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Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
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