top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Week ended August 7, 2026: weak U.S. jobs report cheers investors
In spite of the noise in global markets, it’s August – does anyone care? Investors celebrated the weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report on Friday, rounding out a week in which both global stocks and bonds rallied. The U.S. jobs report pushed markets to price a higher probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in September and begin cutting later in the year, so stocks – especially more interest-rate sensitive stocks like small caps (e.g. the Russell 2000 index) – ra

tim@emorningcoffee.com
1 day ago6 min read


Week ended June 26, 2026: stocks and bonds diverge
Stocks and bonds diverged last week, as volatility kicked into high gear especially around semi-conductor stocks. Yields came in across the curve as long term inflation expectations subsided. Gold and Bitcoin lost ground, and the US Dollar continued to grind higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 284 min read


Semi-conductors: the value chain and exploring the opportunity
This article looks at the semi-conductor value chain and explores the opportunities for investors. It's not easy to evaluate many of the companies, and the valuations are stretched already.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 258 min read


Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read


Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read


BIPs, RIPs and CHIPs
Get ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 30, 20233 min read
Home: Blog2
bottom of page