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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 17, 2025: up, down and all around
I started drafting this update Friday morning in London, with U.S. futures massively down. And then – like magic – the U.S. stock market opened slightly better, bounced around all morning, and then headed higher during the afternoon. These are crazy times! Above are some of the headlines that have appeared the last two days in # Bloomberg and the # FT . Over-valued equities and concerns about A.I. have been present for some time, but the last two headlines regarding cred

tim@emorningcoffee.com
5 days ago6 min read
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Week ended July 18, 2025: US economic data and corporate earnings solid
Concerns regarding tariffs and trade rhetoric faded a bit in the second half of the week in the U.S., which gave way to decent economic data and a strong start to the earnings season. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs (again). Yields were under modest pressure at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 184 min read
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Cars, tariffs and social security "fraud"
This article summarises two articles and one podcast that are topical,: US/EU automotive tariffs, social security "fraud", and steel tariffs

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 197 min read
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Week ended April 5, 2024: equities and bonds decline
Stocks and bonds declined last week, although stocks ended the week on a positive note after a strong US jobs report. Gold and oil higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 6, 20246 min read
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Week ended June 30, 2023: Equity markets on fire!
It was a scorching end to a fantastic first half of 2023, if you are long equities. Less so perhaps if you are long bonds. And Apple!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 1, 20236 min read
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Week ended May 12, 2023
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] MARKETS SUMMARY Stocks didn’t do much week-over-week although the general trend was down. Japanese equities...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 13, 20234 min read
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Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read
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Week ended Oct 14, 2022
The Truss government takes a U-Turn and throws Kwarteng under the bus, and US equities experience unusual volatility following hot CPI.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 15, 20226 min read
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Week Ended April 9th: "Back to the Future"
Update for this past week in equities, credit, and other assets. IMF projects growth, SPACs under pressure, bank earnings coming, etc.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20214 min read
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