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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended November 21, 2025: risk assets battered
The weekly update covers NVDA's excellent earnings; the A.I. shine which is wearing off; the minutes from the last FOMC meeting (Oct); and the fall of Bitcoin.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 21, 20255 min read


Week ended Nov 7, 2025: Dip, or beginning of the end?
There are no shortage of investors which think stocks are well over-baked, especially stocks of companies that are directly or indirectly associated with the ongoing A.I. hype. It has appeared for weeks that this was nothing more than scaremongering as stocks continued their stratospheric rise. However, the past week saw scepticism start to set in as investor concerns regarding valuations broadened. Tech stocks led the sell-off, although there were few places to hide as mo

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20255 min read


What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20258 min read


DeepSeek, ASML earnings, Mag 7 earnings and FOMC decision
DeepSeek wrecks outlook for AI companies; Mag 7 companies MSFT, META, TSLA and AAPL report earnings; FOMC expected to hold rates

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 29, 20253 min read


WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 11, 20234 min read
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