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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended May 15, 2026: In bonds there is truth
Stocks were fine much of the week due to the ongoing "to the moon" A.I. narrative and rampant momentum buying. However, things came to a screeching halt on Friday, once the "adults in the room" (i.e. bond investors) started to run for cover with inflation soaring higher and becoming ever-more entrenched. Friday was firmly risk off, and now the question is what will happen next week? What if buy-the-dip investors go on strike? I don't even want to imagine that!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 167 min read
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10% cap on credit card interest: a very bad idea!
President Trump has shown his populist colours by jumping on board a liberal proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% for one year. This makes no sense! And it looks to be going nowhere fast.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 296 min read
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Week ended Jan 9, 2026: stocks close at record highs
There were more ideas coming from Mr Trump last week than seemed possible, a reflection of desperation as the affordability crisis continues to weigh on his administration and the approaching mid-term elections. Some ideas were simply ridiculous, but investors are used to it by now. This was reflected as risk markets remained solid, with several U.S. and foreign stock markets closing Friday at record highs.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 105 min read
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The K-shaped economy and affordability
This is a short article about the K-shaped economy, driven by persistently high inflation and exacerbated by the errant "One, Big Beautiful Bill".

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 75 min read
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