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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 10, 2026: stocks and bonds diverge (again)
US stocks were mixed but tech continued to be the driver. US bonds did less well, as yields moved higher across the curve. Global stocks were generally weaker, as oil inched higher due to ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East with the Strait of Hormuz again the focal point.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 114 min read


Semi-conductors: the value chain and exploring the opportunity
This article looks at the semi-conductor value chain and explores the opportunities for investors. It's not easy to evaluate many of the companies, and the valuations are stretched already.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 258 min read


Week ended June 12, 2026: SpaceX finally blasts off
Markets bounced around a lot last week, but focus was mostly on the SpaceX IPO, the largest IPO ever which successfully priced on Thursday evening. The war between the US and Iran continues, oil and gold were lower, and bonds improved.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 133 min read


Week ended June 5, 2026: sell-off in tech shares drive indices lower
Tech shares came under pressure this week, with the sell-off gaining steam on Friday following a much stronger-than-expected US payrolls report. Yields moved higher across the curve, oil was higher, and Bitcoin faltered. Much of this was driven by higher inflation expectations and a lower likelihood that the Fed will cut rates in the foreseeable future.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 65 min read


Week ended November 21, 2025: risk assets battered
The weekly update covers NVDA's excellent earnings; the A.I. shine which is wearing off; the minutes from the last FOMC meeting (Oct); and the fall of Bitcoin.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 21, 20255 min read


Week ended November 14, 2025: US government reopens
The U.S. government reopened this week although – coincidentally or not – U.S. equities swooned. The issue remains full-on valuations of U.S. stocks coupled with growing concerns with the enormous amounts of A.I. spend being put forward by many tech companies.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 15, 20256 min read


Week ended Nov 7, 2025: Dip, or beginning of the end?
There are no shortage of investors which think stocks are well over-baked, especially stocks of companies that are directly or indirectly associated with the ongoing A.I. hype. It has appeared for weeks that this was nothing more than scaremongering as stocks continued their stratospheric rise. However, the past week saw scepticism start to set in as investor concerns regarding valuations broadened. Tech stocks led the sell-off, although there were few places to hide as mo

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20255 min read


What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20258 min read
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