tim@emorningcoffee.com
WEEKLY: Inflation, inflation, inflation!
Inflation data weighed on markets again this week, with the S&P 500 declining for the 3rd consecutive week and UST yields pushing higher.
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Feb 18
- 4 min
WEEKLY: US economy running hot
The combination of the Fed's ongoing rhetoric and strong economic data finally hits home, as US stocks falter, following the UST market.
360
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Feb 11
- 4 min
WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.
280
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Feb 6
- 4 min
Weekend thoughts (and not good ones!)
Liz Truss went on the talk show circuit this weekend to defend her short legacy as PM, and US debt ceiling discussions dragged on. Ugh!
370
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Feb 5
- 4 min
Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
390
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Feb 3
- 7 min
Corporate misbehaviour and the Adani Group
Let me begin this article by acknowledging that no country is immune to corporate fraud or graft. In fact, I can think of many more...
1200
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jan 30
- 3 min
Musings to start the week
As we kick off the week with what looks like will be a weak opening in US stock and bond markets following weakness in Asian and European...
240
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jan 28
- 4 min
WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
360
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jan 21
- 5 min
WEEKLY: News mixed, markets skid sideways
Markets largely slid sideways this week. Large tech companies continue layoffs. Economic data suggests peak inflation has been reached.
440
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jan 14
- 6 min
WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
270
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jan 7
- 3 min
US labour report stokes late-week rally (weekly update)
US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.
170
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Dec 24, 2022
- 2 min
WEEKLY: Worse than expected on declining volumes
Markets generally worse than expected on declining volumes, as we head to the holiday break. BoJ shocked markets, US PCE in-line.
260
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Dec 18, 2022
- 6 min
WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
330
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Dec 10, 2022
- 5 min
WEEKLY: Big week ahead, CPI and central bank meetings
Mixed week, sentiment shifters driving momentum markets. US economy continuing to show resiliency, muting the Fed's fight against inflation
294
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Dec 3, 2022
- 5 min
WEEKLY: Didn't see that coming!
The good news is that Nov was a terrific and positive month for stocks and bonds. The bad news is inflation won't go away. Read on....
280
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Nov 26, 2022
- 4 min
WEEKLY: Risk markets grind higher
Stocks and bonds are much better on the week, continuing a nice run in the 4Q22. The rally is broadening and orderly. Too much, too fast?
280
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Nov 22, 2022
- 8 min
BREXIT: it just won’t go away
The UK is continuing to experience a BREXIT hangover. The economy is in desperate need of help, but the Tories seem unable to move forward
595
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Nov 19, 2022
- 6 min
WEEKLY: Fed “talking heads” pour cold water on rally
The week could have been worse thanks to the talking heads from the Fed, but Friday saved the day. Yield curve steepens, oil prices plummet
270
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