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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Jan 19, 2024: S&P 500 closes at record high
The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 20, 20244 min read


Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read


Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read


Week ended Dec 8, 2023: eyes on central bank policy meetings
It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 9, 20236 min read


Week ended Dec 1, 2023: all systems go (for now)
There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 2, 20238 min read


Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read


Week ended Sept 8 2023: stocks and bonds sag (again)
Stocks and bonds sagged again this week, as overall sentiment remains fragile. Apple and corporate bond supply might have been culprits too

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 10, 20234 min read


Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 26, 20236 min read


WEEKLY: Risk markets grind higher
Stocks and bonds are much better on the week, continuing a nice run in the 4Q22. The rally is broadening and orderly. Too much, too fast?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 26, 20224 min read
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