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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended August 15, 2025: markets stagnate second half of week
U.S. stocks hit record highs mid-week for two days running, but softened after worst-than-expected PPI data and eroding consumer confidence, released Thursday and Friday, put a dent in the animal spirits driving risk assets higher. UST yields rose, remaining stubbornly high and not very connected to what the FOMC might or might not do at the next FOMC meeting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 15, 20254 min read
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Cars, tariffs and social security "fraud"
This article summarises two articles and one podcast that are topical,: US/EU automotive tariffs, social security "fraud", and steel tariffs

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 19, 20257 min read
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Week ended August 30, 2024
Earnings and economic data (especially inflation data) continued to improve risk sentiment. The yield curve inversion ended. Dollar better

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 1, 20246 min read
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Week ended July 5, 2024: UK election and US jobs report
Labour wins overwhelming majority in UK Parliamentary election. US jobs report favourable for inflation. French election ahead.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 6, 20245 min read
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