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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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WEEKLY: News mixed, markets skid sideways
Markets largely slid sideways this week. Large tech companies continue layoffs. Economic data suggests peak inflation has been reached.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 21, 20235 min read
WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
US labour report stokes late-week rally (weekly update)
US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20233 min read
WEEKLY: Worse than expected on declining volumes
Markets generally worse than expected on declining volumes, as we head to the holiday break. BoJ shocked markets, US PCE in-line.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 24, 20222 min read
WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Big week ahead, CPI and central bank meetings
Mixed week, sentiment shifters driving momentum markets. US economy continuing to show resiliency, muting the Fed's fight against inflation
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 10, 20225 min read
WEEKLY: Didn't see that coming!
The good news is that Nov was a terrific and positive month for stocks and bonds. The bad news is inflation won't go away. Read on....
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 3, 20225 min read
WEEKLY: Risk markets grind higher
Stocks and bonds are much better on the week, continuing a nice run in the 4Q22. The rally is broadening and orderly. Too much, too fast?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 26, 20224 min read
WEEKLY: Fed “talking heads” pour cold water on rally
The week could have been worse thanks to the talking heads from the Fed, but Friday saved the day. Yield curve steepens, oil prices plummet
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 19, 20226 min read
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