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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended Oct 7 2022

Markets were up on bad economic news, and then faltered on good economic news. The narrative of a Fed pivot won't go away.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 8, 20227 min read

It was a horrific week brought on by central banks doing exactly what they said they were going to do. Reality is setting in and its painful

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 24, 20227 min read

Not a good week at all for most asset classes, with the culprit being worst-than-expected CPI in the US. Economic data weak elsewhere too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 17, 20226 min read

August was a month of two halves, with unfortunately the second half being a reversal of fortune and a massive fade heading into Sept. Ugh!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 3, 20226 min read

At the economic symposium, Fed chair Powell presented a committed focus to snuff out inflation. Global growth is slowing, inflation high.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 27, 20228 min read

Friday was a down day in US equities and bonds. Was it an anomaly or is reality setting back in? 2y Gilt yields also were sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 20, 20225 min read

The BoE bumped the rates 50bps, its largest increase since 1995. The US jobs report served as a reminder that inflation is not going away.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 6, 20226 min read

July ends a winning month for US and European equities and bonds, following a dismal 1H2022. Earnings supportive, economic data in line.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 30, 20226 min read

ECB shocks markets with a 50bps increases in rates, Italy in turmoil, PMI data weak, inflation rages, global equities and credit better WoW

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 23, 20228 min read

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