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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25 min read
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What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 208 min read
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Week ended Dec 13, 2024: markets slightly weaker
Bond yields ticked up after an in-line Nov CPI report, reminding investors the inflation battle is not over. Stocks were weaker.,

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 14, 20246 min read
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Anti-obesity medications: part 3, valuations of LLY and NVO
This is the 3rd and final article focused on anti-obesity drugs. It looks at valuations of shares of the two giants in this biz, LLY & NVO.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 18, 20248 min read
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S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read
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Week ended Oct 7 2022
Markets were up on bad economic news, and then faltered on good economic news. The narrative of a Fed pivot won't go away.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 8, 20227 min read
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FAMAG earnings: investors on edge
This is a monumental week for earnings, with 167 S&P 500 companies – including all five FAMAG big tech companies – reporting results.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 26, 20226 min read
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Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?
Given the poor performance of equities so far this year, I wanted to take a quick high level look at valuations of a number of stocks...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 202210 min read
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