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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended May 29, 2026: an "everything better" (almost) week!
Most global bond and stock indices rallied last week, with several global (including U.S.) stock indices closing at record highs. PCE data for April confirmed elevated inflation in the U.S., and the fact that consumers are getting poorer. This is a real contrast with the ever-higher improvement in most global asset prices.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 304 min read
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Week ended March 27, 2026: market sinks further
Markets deteriorated further as the US threats amount to nothing more than deferred deadlines as Iran digs in its heels. Higher oil prices and an unclear picture of how this war might play out is rattling nearly all corners of the financial markets.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 277 min read
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Week ended March 6, 2026: war breaks out, global assets trashed
War breaks out with rather significant effects on the global economy, including sharply higher oil prices and increasing inflation expectations. This filtered through to stocks and bonds, both of which took a beating this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 78 min read
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Week ended Jan 10, 2025: markets under pressure
Stock and bond markets felt fragile all week. The US Dec jobs report caused investments to gap down in price to end a difficult week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 11, 20255 min read
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Week ended August 30, 2024
Earnings and economic data (especially inflation data) continued to improve risk sentiment. The yield curve inversion ended. Dollar better

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 1, 20246 min read
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