top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Week ended May 30, 2025: Trade war softens
This week had a double trade war "positive" for investors, excellent earnings, strong earnings and a favourable outlook from Nvidia, the 2025 Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas, the release of minutes from the last FOMC meeting, and a poor Japanese 40y bond auction.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 297 min read
Â
Â
Â


Moody's downgrade and Walmart
Moody's downgraded the US, the last of the "big three" to strip the US of its triple-A rating. I suspect a muted reaction, at least initially, in the UST market. Stocks might take it worse. I also cover Walmart and its comments on tariffs.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 184 min read
Â
Â
Â


Week ended May 16, 2025: What caught my eye this week
President Trump has been in the Middle East this week with a contingent of US business leaders and his finance / economics team, cutting...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 158 min read
Â
Â
Â


Week ended May 2, 2025: Risk is back on!
Markets are at last returning to some sense of normalcy, with the S&P 500 now clawing back all of its losses since the infamous...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 36 min read
Â
Â
Â


Mag 7 stocks, earnings, "hands off" the Fed and Jeffrey Sachs at ADF
Quick look to start the week with earnings, including TSLA and GOOG, Jeffrey Sachs explaining poor Trump policies and the Fed's independence

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 224 min read
Â
Â
Â


Week ended April 18, 2025
There will be no "Fed put" according to Mr Powell, which rattled markets and evoked a response from Mr Trump. US equities slumped again.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 195 min read
Â
Â
Â


Portfolio update: 1Q2025
The first quarter was actually quite decent for me, although the start to April has been horrible since there is nowhere to hide.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 96 min read
Â
Â
Â


Musings to start the week
Down we go in a self-inflicted mess caused by Mr Trump's errant tariff policy. I talk about trade and budget deficits, and the week ahead.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 75 min read
Â
Â
Â


Week ended March 28, 2025: risk markets falter after more tariffs
Mr Trump's announcement of 25% auto tariffs followed by others in the queue sent stocks spiralling down, and haven assets like gold higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 286 min read
Â
Â
Â
Home: Blog2
bottom of page


