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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Jan 5, 2024
Sloppy start to the new year in most traditional asset markets. Credit also weakened, and the USD strengthened. Off we go!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20243 min read
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Week ended Dec 8, 2023: eyes on central bank policy meetings
It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 9, 20236 min read
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Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read
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Week ended Nov 17, 2023: stocks and bonds rally
Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 18, 20238 min read
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Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
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Week ended October 13, 2023: reality of war sets in
A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 14, 20233 min read
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Week ended Sept 8 2023: stocks and bonds sag (again)
Stocks and bonds sagged again this week, as overall sentiment remains fragile. Apple and corporate bond supply might have been culprits too

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 10, 20234 min read
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Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read
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