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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 12, 2026: SpaceX finally blasts off
Markets bounced around a lot last week, but focus was mostly on the SpaceX IPO, the largest IPO ever which successfully priced on Thursday evening. The war between the US and Iran continues, oil and gold were lower, and bonds improved.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 133 min read


Update: May CPI, central bank meetings, SpaceX IPO and Social Security
"....That being said, let’s motor on to what really matters in the coming days – May CPI in the U.S. (released yesterday), upcoming central bank meetings, the SpaceX IPO which is on the launch pad (no pun intended), and U.S. social security."

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 115 min read


Week ended June 5, 2026: sell-off in tech shares drive indices lower
Tech shares came under pressure this week, with the sell-off gaining steam on Friday following a much stronger-than-expected US payrolls report. Yields moved higher across the curve, oil was higher, and Bitcoin faltered. Much of this was driven by higher inflation expectations and a lower likelihood that the Fed will cut rates in the foreseeable future.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 65 min read


The SpaceX IPO: insane valuation but will likely fly
The pending IPO of Elon Musk-controlled SpaceX (symbol SPCX) is grabbing all of the headlines at the moment, and for good reason – it is not only expected to be the largest IPO ever, but also the largest company (by market cap) to ever do an IPO. The proposed offering is also unique in other ways. For starters, the IPO marketing process is unconventional. For example, the offer price per share – normally provided as a range once investor meetings are well underway – has al

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 410 min read


Week ended May 22, 2026: mega-IPOs pending
Stocks were better again last week, led by European stocks. US stocks were also better in spite of a difficult start to the week, with non-tech shares leading gains. The DJIA closed at a record high. Bonds stabilised although policy-sensitive yields at the short end of the curve actually moved higher. NVDA earnings and the pending SpaceX IPO dominated the news flow.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 235 min read
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