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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25 min read
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Week ended April 18, 2025
There will be no "Fed put" according to Mr Powell, which rattled markets and evoked a response from Mr Trump. US equities slumped again.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 195 min read
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Week ended March 8, 2024: politics dominate landscape
Equities were mixed, UST yields were tighter across the curve. Politics garnered most attention this week, plus an ECB decision.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 8, 20247 min read
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Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read
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Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 26, 20236 min read
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Week ended June 30, 2023: Equity markets on fire!
It was a scorching end to a fantastic first half of 2023, if you are long equities. Less so perhaps if you are long bonds. And Apple!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 1, 20236 min read
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Week ended June 16, 2023: Risk-rally broadening
Fed pauses, ECB races ahead, BoJ stays loose; BoE poised to raise rates again this week. Dollar slumps, global equities power ahead,

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20237 min read
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