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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended June 16, 2023: Risk-rally broadening
Fed pauses, ECB races ahead, BoJ stays loose; BoE poised to raise rates again this week. Dollar slumps, global equities power ahead,
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20237 min read
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WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Much ado about nothing
Earnings season ended and data was sparse. Equities rallied, gaining in the US for the first time in 4 weeks. Bond yields rose.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 4, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 11, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20226 min read
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WEEKLY: Didn't see that coming!
The good news is that Nov was a terrific and positive month for stocks and bonds. The bad news is inflation won't go away. Read on....
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 3, 20225 min read
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WEEKLY: Fed, BoE raise rates; US equities / bonds take it on the chin
US equities and bonds get crushed, other global equity markets improve. USTs weaker, gold rallies, oil up and USD lower. Fed, BoE raise.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 5, 20227 min read
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Week ended Sept 2nd 2022
August was a month of two halves, with unfortunately the second half being a reversal of fortune and a massive fade heading into Sept. Ugh!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 3, 20226 min read
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Week ended August 26th 2022
At the economic symposium, Fed chair Powell presented a committed focus to snuff out inflation. Global growth is slowing, inflation high.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 20228 min read
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