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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 9, 20249 min read
Week ended Nov 8, 2024: Markets adapt to president-elect Trump
Last week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 24, 20243 min read
Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 6, 20246 min read
Week ended April 5, 2024: equities and bonds decline
Stocks and bonds declined last week, although stocks ended the week on a positive note after a strong US jobs report. Gold and oil higher.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 22, 20246 min read
Week ended March 22, 2023: It's an "everything rally" (nearly)
It was an "everything rally" last week, with several equity markets touching record highs. US Treasuries also rallied. Thanks central banks
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 26, 20236 min read
Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 24, 20235 min read
Week ended June 23, 2023: BoE jumbo rate increase
Central banks, one after another, are raising rates to try to tame persistent inflation, but it's not working fast enough. Equities tanked.
370
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20237 min read
Week ended June 16, 2023: Risk-rally broadening
Fed pauses, ECB races ahead, BoJ stays loose; BoE poised to raise rates again this week. Dollar slumps, global equities power ahead,
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
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