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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 12, 2026: SpaceX finally blasts off
Markets bounced around a lot last week, but focus was mostly on the SpaceX IPO, the largest IPO ever which successfully priced on Thursday evening. The war between the US and Iran continues, oil and gold were lower, and bonds improved.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 133 min read


Update: May CPI, central bank meetings, SpaceX IPO and Social Security
"....That being said, let’s motor on to what really matters in the coming days – May CPI in the U.S. (released yesterday), upcoming central bank meetings, the SpaceX IPO which is on the launch pad (no pun intended), and U.S. social security."

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 115 min read


Week ended June 5, 2026: sell-off in tech shares drive indices lower
Tech shares came under pressure this week, with the sell-off gaining steam on Friday following a much stronger-than-expected US payrolls report. Yields moved higher across the curve, oil was higher, and Bitcoin faltered. Much of this was driven by higher inflation expectations and a lower likelihood that the Fed will cut rates in the foreseeable future.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 65 min read


The SpaceX IPO: insane valuation but will likely fly
The pending IPO of Elon Musk-controlled SpaceX (symbol SPCX) is grabbing all of the headlines at the moment, and for good reason – it is not only expected to be the largest IPO ever, but also the largest company (by market cap) to ever do an IPO. The proposed offering is also unique in other ways. For starters, the IPO marketing process is unconventional. For example, the offer price per share – normally provided as a range once investor meetings are well underway – has al

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 410 min read


Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 16, 20234 min read


Revisiting Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco did a much-watched IPO in Dec 2019. This article looks at the performance of the shares since the IPO (and other IOCs).

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 30, 20229 min read


Coinbase: Cryptos Gain Steam
Coinbase listed on Weds via an innovative direct listing. It is an interesting company with a super-rich valuation, cryptocurrency-focused.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 15, 20218 min read
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