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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 13, 2025: inflation moderates, jobs remain solid
Inflation appears to be moderating, and the US jobs market remains resilient although perhaps showing some cracks. Mr Trump used the inflation data as a reason to justify "demanding that" the Fed slash the Fed Fund rate by 100bps. Trade policy continues to zigzag, with investors starting to mostly ignore the rhetoric coming from the administration. Stocks and bonds were better through Thursday, with gold higher and the greenback weaker. The Israeli bombing of Iran overnig

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 135 min read
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Week ended Jan 24, 2025: Mr Trump's first week in office
US markets responded favourably to new President Donald Trump’s first week in office, with bond yields holding steady and stock indices...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 254 min read
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Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
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Week ended July 29, 2022
July ends a winning month for US and European equities and bonds, following a dismal 1H2022. Earnings supportive, economic data in line.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 30, 20226 min read
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Week ended July 22, 2022
ECB shocks markets with a 50bps increases in rates, Italy in turmoil, PMI data weak, inflation rages, global equities and credit better WoW

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 23, 20228 min read
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Who do you trust?
Do you trust the Fed, or the Bank of England, or the Bank of Japan, or the ECB, or the Bank of China? Shades of grey for sure, read on!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20225 min read
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