top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Week ended May 8, 2026: market remains constructive
I started penning this update with my recurring rant about the antics of the Trump Administration. The daily “war is over” rhetoric coming from the leader of the free world is super-annoying, especially since Iran and the U.S. remain more or less deadlocked, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and no oil flowing through it. But does this really matter anymore, at least to investors? Yes, higher oil prices are hurting consumers (see “Consumer confidence” below) and will rev

tim@emorningcoffee.com
4 days ago6 min read


Week ended May 1, 2026: US stocks gain for fifth week running
All four major central banks held their policy rates steady last week, but all of them also had a hawkish bias. Earnings continued to be supportive of higher stock prices, with five of the Mag 7 companies all beating on the top and bottom lines. Yields were higher as bonds got hammered, thanks to ongoing concerns regarding higher oil-induced inflation. There is no end in sight to the Iran-U.S. conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 15 min read


Week ended November 21, 2025: risk assets battered
The weekly update covers NVDA's excellent earnings; the A.I. shine which is wearing off; the minutes from the last FOMC meeting (Oct); and the fall of Bitcoin.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 21, 20255 min read


Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20255 min read


What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20258 min read


Week ended July 25, 2025: it was an "everything up" week (again)
Let’s face it – nothing can slow the “risk on” sentiment currently charactering equity markets. SPACs were the first to reappear a few...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 27, 20254 min read


Week ended April 25, 2025: earnings, whining and wining
This is the early edition of the weekly, covering earnings (TSLA and GOOG), Trump capitulation (again) and 2024 en primeur Bordeaux campaign

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 25, 20258 min read


S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read


FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read
Home: Blog2
bottom of page