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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Sept 5, 2025: jobs report ends week with a thud
The S&P 500 hit another record high, but stock investors reacted poorly to a weaker-than-expected jobs report for August. Bonds rallied, as a slowing US economy portends a weaker labor market and potentially slack demand, setting aside concerns about long-term inflation, at least for the time being. Gold continued on its tear.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 73 min read
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Week ended June 27 2025: markets race ahead
Risk markets were full on this week, with nearly everything better except the sagging US Dollar and safe-haven gold. What's not to like, as peace breaks out, US economic growth signals continued strength, and the trade war continues to be watered down.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 274 min read
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Three key election issues: immigration, inflation and abortion
There are many important issues in the US Presidential election, but none more so perhaps than immigration, inflation, and abortion.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 25, 202410 min read
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Week ended Sept 1, 2023: Good enough
The perfect storm of economic news cheered bond and stock investors, with asset prices rising across the board in the US. RoW less clear.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2, 20234 min read
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The Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020
The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 10, 202214 min read
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Week Ended April 9th: "Back to the Future"
Update for this past week in equities, credit, and other assets. IMF projects growth, SPACs under pressure, bank earnings coming, etc.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20214 min read
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Inflation
The purpose of this article is to provide you with a basic understanding of inflation – what it is, why it can derail a stable economy, and

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 4, 202123 min read
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