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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Sept 5, 2025: jobs report ends week with a thud
The S&P 500 hit another record high, but stock investors reacted poorly to a weaker-than-expected jobs report for August. Bonds rallied, as a slowing US economy portends a weaker labor market and potentially slack demand, setting aside concerns about long-term inflation, at least for the time being. Gold continued on its tear.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 73 min read


Week ended July 25, 2025: it was an "everything up" week (again)
Let’s face it – nothing can slow the “risk on” sentiment currently charactering equity markets. SPACs were the first to reappear a few...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 274 min read


Week ended June 6, 2025: U.S. growth under scrutiny
US economic data is suggesting a slowing US economy, with the question about tariff-inflation unresolved. Unlike the Fed, the ECB continues to ease, lowering its policy rates 25bps on Thursday (for the 8th time). Risk markets remain relatively resilient, and bond yields improved, too. The Trump-Musk feud has grabbed headlines this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 65 min read


Week ended Mar 7, 2025: markets continue to spiral down
Tariffs followed by partial capitulation, a strategic crypto reserve, and further erosion in markets summed up another tumultuous week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 75 min read


Week ended Jan 31, 2025: earnings and central bank decisions dominate
The week started and ended poorly for US stocks, delivering losses for the week. European stocks have been the best performers YtD.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 15 min read


Week ended Dec 13, 2024: markets slightly weaker
Bond yields ticked up after an in-line Nov CPI report, reminding investors the inflation battle is not over. Stocks were weaker.,

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 14, 20246 min read


The Fed, Bank of England and ECB: monetary policy decisions
This week we have monetary policy decisions from the Fed, the Bank of England and the ECB, the last of the year. This provides context.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 12, 20222 min read


FOREX
FOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20229 min read


Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
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