US Treasury yields are stuck, with the 10y UST yielding just north of 4%, What might be coming next? This article presents the factors that will influence the next gap up or down in UST yields.

I started drafting this update Friday morning in London, with U.S. futures massively down.  And then – like magic – the U.S. stock market opened slightly better, bounced around all morning, and then headed higher during the afternoon.  These are crazy times!  Above are some of the headlines that have appeared the last two days in # Bloomberg and the # FT .  Over-valued equities and concerns about A.I. have been present for some time, but the last two headlines regarding cred

All eyes have been on the 2025-26 US budget discussions in the House this week, with the "big beautiful bill" getting through (albeit barely) and heading to the Senate. Professional bond and currency investors are signalling concern, visible in higher UST yields and a weaker US Dollar.

Inspired by Mr Trump's false claims that he inherited the "worst economy ever", this article looks at administrations' economic performance.

Inflation continues to confound, although investors largely shook it off. Market volatility remains elevated but stocks better WoW.

US deficits are soaring, along with US debt to finance the "exceptional growth" of the US. Can this continue?

It was another challenging week for both stocks and bonds, with the sell-off in equities gaining steam as tech stocks flounder.

The decision-making ability of Congress is poor and getting worse, just as US deficits spiral higher and higher. Something needs to be done

FitchRatings downgraded the US to AA+ on Tuesday, triggering a harsh response from the Biden Administration but nonchalance from investors.