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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended May 23, 2025: all eyes on US budget
All eyes have been on the 2025-26 US budget discussions in the House this week, with the "big beautiful bill" getting through (albeit barely) and heading to the Senate. Professional bond and currency investors are signalling concern, visible in higher UST yields and a weaker US Dollar.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 237 min read
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Week ended May 16, 2025: What caught my eye this week
President Trump has been in the Middle East this week with a contingent of US business leaders and his finance / economics team, cutting...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 158 min read
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Week ended April 11, 2025: Bonds speak the truth
We're up, we're down, we're all around! US stocks remain volatile but ended higher. Bonds are the "adult in the room" though.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 126 min read
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Who do you trust?
Do you trust the Fed, or the Bank of England, or the Bank of Japan, or the ECB, or the Bank of China? Shades of grey for sure, read on!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20225 min read
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Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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