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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended April 7, 2023
It was a holiday shortened week devoid of direction, with economic data providing a mixed picture. Oil, gold higher. Equities weaker.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 8, 20234 min read
Week ended March 31, 2023
Risk markets ended a solid first quarter, as stocks and bonds rallied. The wind feels as if it is at our back as risk assets power forward.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 1, 20235 min read
WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
WEEKLY: Fed “talking heads” pour cold water on rally
The week could have been worse thanks to the talking heads from the Fed, but Friday saved the day. Yield curve steepens, oil prices plummet
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 19, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: US CPI and midterms push markets higher
FTX goes bust, US CPI suggests possible Fed pivot, and US midterms lead to the end of Dem progressive legislation. Equities & bonds rally.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Fed, BoE raise rates; US equities / bonds take it on the chin
US equities and bonds get crushed, other global equity markets improve. USTs weaker, gold rallies, oil up and USD lower. Fed, BoE raise.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 5, 20227 min read
WEEKLY: Markets improve as FAMAG companies flounder
This week was mainly about earnings, including banks, FAMAG companies and oil giants. ECB and BoJ behaved as expected. US 3Q22 GDP beats.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 29, 20226 min read
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