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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25 min read
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Week ended August 8, 2025: more record highs
The bottom line is that global stocks ended at or near record highs again, with US Treasury yields slightly higher. The BoE – after a struggle – managed to lower its policy rate. Fitch published an interesting article on tariffs, Apple CEO Tim Cook met with the president, and the recent Pivot podcast interview with Anthony Scaramucci is very interesting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 95 min read
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Week ended May 2, 2025: Risk is back on!
Markets are at last returning to some sense of normalcy, with the S&P 500 now clawing back all of its losses since the infamous...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 36 min read
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Four tech giants to report earnings: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL
Four of the infamous tech giants in the Mag & report earnings today and tomorrow: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL. Risk is downside asymmetrical.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 303 min read
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Mag 7 stocks: a tough 1Q2025 (and now "on sale"?)
This is a very brief update for the Mag 7 stocks for 1Q2025, all of which were down, several sharply. It is not getting better either!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 39 min read
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Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20236 min read
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S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read
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Tesla: as resilient as ever
Love it or hate it, the fact is that Tesla's stock performance has left nearly all peers – tech and automotive – in the dust. Now what?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 22, 20226 min read
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