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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 31, 2026: volatile month draws to a close
A volatile month draws to a close, with global bond yields higher as inflation expectations remain elevated. With no sign of the end of the Middle East conflict, investors very much remain on edge. Ongoing concerns regarding A.I. spending are also weighing on sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
2 days ago6 min read


Update: semi-conductor and hyper-scaler stocks, plus SpaceX
This article provides an early-week update on the highly volatile and under-pressure semi-conductor sector, as well as the Mag 7 stocks with AAPL, AMZN, META and MSFT reporting earnings this week. It also looks at SpaceX (SPCX), which is well below its IPO price and falling like a stone.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
6 days ago5 min read


Week ended July 24, 2026: U.S. stocks and bonds decline
U.S. stocks and bonds lost ground last week, with global stock markets all gaining ground. GOOG disappointed, which is hard to digest given their performance and outlook. Investors remained very concerned about A.I. investment needs, especially amongst the hyper-scalers. There are important central bank meetings and earnings this coming week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 265 min read


Week ended May 8, 2026: market remains constructive
I started penning this update with my recurring rant about the antics of the Trump Administration. The daily “war is over” rhetoric coming from the leader of the free world is super-annoying, especially since Iran and the U.S. remain more or less deadlocked, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and no oil flowing through it. But does this really matter anymore, at least to investors? Yes, higher oil prices are hurting consumers (see “Consumer confidence” below) and will rev

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 96 min read


Week ended May 1, 2026: US stocks gain for fifth week running
All four major central banks held their policy rates steady last week, but all of them also had a hawkish bias. Earnings continued to be supportive of higher stock prices, with five of the Mag 7 companies all beating on the top and bottom lines. Yields were higher as bonds got hammered, thanks to ongoing concerns regarding higher oil-induced inflation. There is no end in sight to the Iran-U.S. conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 15 min read


Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20236 min read


S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read


FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read


Tesla: as resilient as ever
Love it or hate it, the fact is that Tesla's stock performance has left nearly all peers – tech and automotive – in the dust. Now what?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 22, 20226 min read
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