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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended December 17th, 2021
Focus this past week was on four of the world's major central banks, which provided the latest glimpse into the path of monetary policy.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20217 min read
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Week ended December 10th 2021
What a difference a few days make! We are solidly risk-on now, as conviction increased throughout the week. Equities had strong returns.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 11, 20217 min read
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Week ended December 3rd, 2021
It was a highly volatile week in equity and government bond markets, with equities and short-dated USTs selling off sharply.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 4, 20216 min read
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Three books worth reading
One of the many things that I have enjoyed doing since I left the grind of working at large financial institutions is reading things...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 30, 202110 min read
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Week Ended November 26th, 2021
This week was all about Friday, as global equities were hammered after news of the new COVID variant. It was squarely risk-off in markets.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 27, 20217 min read
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Week Ended November 19th, 2021
Weekly update for the past week, ended Nov 19th 2021. Bitcoin and oil were the big losers, with stocks mixed but showed modest gains.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 20, 20216 min read
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Week Ended November 12th, 2021
“The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something – and then pay a lot less.” Joel Greenblatt, Managing Principal and...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 13, 20215 min read
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The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
Update of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, just passed by the House and expected to be signed in law by President Biden next week
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 11, 20213 min read
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Week Ended November 5th, 2021
The Fed and BoE play along, with their dovish policies pushing USTs and Gilt prices higher and causing global equities to rock!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 6, 20216 min read
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The Virginia Gubernatorial Election
Democratic majorities in Congress look fleeting following Mr Youngkin's (R) surprise win in blue state of VA on Tuesday.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20214 min read
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Week Ended October 29th, 2021
FAMAG/other corp earnings/news, US 3Q21 GDP, UK '22 budget, ECB rate decision, Biden fiscal plan, G20 / COP26 meetings..lots to move markets
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 30, 20218 min read
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Week Ended October 22, 2021
This week did not have a lot of economic news, but a combination of earnings, the first Bitcoin ETF and two interesting SPACs featured.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 22, 20216 min read
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Week Ended October 15th, 2021: Goldilocks is back!
What a week! Equities bounce back with a vengeance as a combination of neural-to-good economic news and strong bank earnings are catalysts.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 16, 20213 min read
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Where we are.....what to do?
What are your assumptions about the current economic parameters affecting investors? Which investments make sense and which do not?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 12, 20212 min read
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Week ended October 8, 2021: Debt ceiling crisis deferred (for now)
Weekly update, looking at the debt ceiling (can kicked down road), dismal Monday, mixed jobs report, UST (+UK/Eurozone govt bonds) hammered.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20214 min read
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Week ended October 1st 2021
Weekly update: equities stumble (again) ending the worst month since the pandemic. Govt bonds sell off too. Credit weakens, oil increases.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 2, 20215 min read
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I'm just not feeling it.....
Cracks in equity and bond markets are becoming more visible....will central banks continue to protect equity investors?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 30, 20215 min read
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Week Ended Sept 24th, 2021: Equities claw back Monday's sharp losses
The week started poorly but by the end of the week, the Fed had provided just enough fuel to stoke on buy-the-dip investors.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 25, 20214 min read
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