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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended August 26th 2022
At the economic symposium, Fed chair Powell presented a committed focus to snuff out inflation. Global growth is slowing, inflation high.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 20228 min read
Week ended August 19th 2022
Friday was a down day in US equities and bonds. Was it an anomaly or is reality setting back in? 2y Gilt yields also were sharply higher.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 20, 20225 min read
Week ended August 12, 2022
Disinflation at last, markets rejoice [SKIP THE COMMENTARY AND GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] SUMMARY OF MARKETS All it took for US equity...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 13, 20225 min read
Week ended August 5, 2022
The BoE bumped the rates 50bps, its largest increase since 1995. The US jobs report served as a reminder that inflation is not going away.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20226 min read
Week ended July 29, 2022
July ends a winning month for US and European equities and bonds, following a dismal 1H2022. Earnings supportive, economic data in line.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 30, 20226 min read
FAMAG earnings: investors on edge
This is a monumental week for earnings, with 167 S&P 500 companies – including all five FAMAG big tech companies – reporting results.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 26, 20226 min read
Week ended July 22, 2022
ECB shocks markets with a 50bps increases in rates, Italy in turmoil, PMI data weak, inflation rages, global equities and credit better WoW
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 23, 20228 min read
Week ended July 15th 2022
At least we ended on a constructive tone on Friday, even though CPI in June in the US soared to 9.1%/annum, the highest since 1981!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 16, 20225 min read
Who do you trust?
Do you trust the Fed, or the Bank of England, or the Bank of Japan, or the ECB, or the Bank of China? Shades of grey for sure, read on!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20225 min read
Week ended July 8th, 2022
US jobs report over-rode concerns re resignation of UK PM Johnson and assassination of former Japanese PM Abe. Bonds tank, equities rally.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 10, 20226 min read
Week ended July 1, 2022
Back to the same as equity markets tanked again this week bringing 1H22 to a close. USTs rallied though with yield plummeting.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 3, 20225 min read
Week ended June 24, 2022
Markets gained momentum as the week wore on and ended solidly in the green for the week, a break with a horrific year so far. Bonds better.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 25, 20225 min read
Week ended June 17, 2022
It was a dismal week, with cash being nearly the only long asset that was worth owning. Equities, bonds, cryptos – even oil – got hammered.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20226 min read
Week ended June 10, 2022
Nothing was pretty about this week, as the ECB being slightly more hawkish than expected and red-hot US inflation clobbered markets.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 11, 20227 min read
Week ended June 3rd, 2022
Remember that 6%+ increase in US stocks just one week ago? Forget it – we are back to normal as both equities and bond prices move lower.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 4, 20226 min read
Week ended May 27th 2022
US equities rally strongly into the close on Friday, bringing MtD returns for May into the green. Corp credit rallies too, the USD weakens.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 28, 20226 min read
Week ended May 20th 2022
Poor US retail earnings and a more pessimistic outlook for FY were the catalysts driving US equities this week. EM was the best performer.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 21, 20226 min read
Week ended May 13th 2022
This past week was a downer for equities, saved only by a late-session recovery on Thursday with the rally extending into Friday.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 14, 20227 min read
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