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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 3Q2025
This is an update of my personal portfolio for the third quarter and YtD. To say the market has been cooperative since the poorly-received "Liberation Day" blanket tariffs would be the mother of all understatements. It wasn't hard – just be long, nearly anything!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 27, 20255 min read


Moody's downgrade and Walmart
Moody's downgraded the US, the last of the "big three" to strip the US of its triple-A rating. I suspect a muted reaction, at least initially, in the UST market. Stocks might take it worse. I also cover Walmart and its comments on tariffs.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 18, 20254 min read


Four tech giants to report earnings: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL
Four of the infamous tech giants in the Mag & report earnings today and tomorrow: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL. Risk is downside asymmetrical.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 30, 20253 min read


Corporate bonds: why you should care about this market
This is a primer on corporate bonds, investment grade & high yield. It also discusses the pandemic and its effect on the corp bond market.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 202218 min read


Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?
Given the poor performance of equities so far this year, I wanted to take a quick high level look at valuations of a number of stocks...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 202210 min read


ARK Invest Update
I have written about the ARK Invest family of actively-managed ETFs in the past in E-MorningCoffee. You will find this update interesting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 21, 20228 min read


FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20214 min read


Enjoy these stocks if you own them; tread carefully if you don’t
This article looks at recent performance of and valuation metrics of the FAMAG stocks and four others: SHOP, NVDA, TSLA and NFLX.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20218 min read


Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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