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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read


Stock repurchases (thanks Mr Buffet)
In his Letter to Shareholders, Mr Buffet raised the issue of the 1% excise tax on stock repurchases, a bad idea. I think he is right!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20236 min read


The Great Reveal
Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 23, 20237 min read


Stocks - do they always go up?
Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20237 min read


Earnings (so far): good or bad?
Earnings for S&P 500 companies have been "better-than-expected" so far. Does this tell the whole story? Stocks are ripping anyway!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 20235 min read


Economic outlook vs stock prices
Economic data is mixed. Cautious corporate and cautious bank outlooks are causing anxiety, but are not keeping stock markets from rallying

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 20234 min read


FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read


My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read


Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read
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