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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
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Stock repurchases (thanks Mr Buffet)
In his Letter to Shareholders, Mr Buffet raised the issue of the 1% excise tax on stock repurchases, a bad idea. I think he is right!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20236 min read
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The Fed, Bank of England and ECB: monetary policy decisions
This week we have monetary policy decisions from the Fed, the Bank of England and the ECB, the last of the year. This provides context.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 12, 20222 min read
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Windfall taxes are a stupid idea
Windfall taxes are economically stupid, which might be why politicians seem to like the idea so much. Banks and energy companies are at risk
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20227 min read
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The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
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FOREX
FOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20229 min read
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The Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020
The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 10, 202214 min read
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Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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About that transitory inflation........
I continue to believe that inflation will be transitory, but supply-push inflation will cause inflation to be higher longer.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 8, 20214 min read
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